Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: O'zbekiston Stadioni (Yaypan)

Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)


	Turon		Metallurg Bekabad

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
				Watch
	4.13	3.19	1.99
	4.15	3.1	1.86
	3.7	3.25	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.5)	3.16 ↑ (2.89)	1.94 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turon
23.7%

Draw
29%

Metallurg Bekabad
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

32%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turon's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Bekabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Bekabad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turon than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Bekabad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Turon - Metallurg Bekabad Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Turon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Metallurg Bekabad will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg Bekabad: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Davronov R. (G) 3. Abdirasulov A. 44. Ashurov A. 55. Avilov K. 9. Azimov R. 5. Chobanov M. 17. Mukarov N. 14. Mukhtarov K. 10. Murtazaev K. 88. Sadulloev S. 45. Saidkhonov A.	87. Ortikov A. (G) 15. Abduraymov S. 97. Alikulov M. 22. Gafurbekov S. 3. Mahini D. 4. Palic K. 8. Shaykulov I. 14. Toshkuziev A. 77. Ubaydullaev S. 9. Urinboev Z. 17. Yazdandoost R.
Substitutes
2. Abdurashidov A. 36. Abdurazzakov N. 41. Ablaev S. 34. Choriev U. 40. Enyang N. 19. Khayrullaev R. 15. Kholmurodov A. 4. Toshtemirov A. 1. Tukhtaboyev D. (G)	7. Gofurov K. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 19. Ismoilov E. 70. Khayrullayev A. 12. Lobanov A. (G) 6. Sattorov K. 20. Sharipov D. 23. Shodmonov B. 11. Temirov D.
Coaches
Nazarov Y.	Stesevic V.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Turon is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metallurg Bekabad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Turon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Turon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Turon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turon
Uzbek League
28.09.23	Navbahor Namangan - Turon	5:0 ✺
25.08.23	Olympic Tashkent - Turon	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Turon - Bunyodkor	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Surkhon Termez - Turon	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Turon - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLLW
- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
27.09.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Andijan	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	AGMK - Metallurg Bekabad	2:4 ✺
30.08.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Sogdiana Jizzakh	3:1 ✺
19.08.23	Pakhtakor - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Qizilqum - Metallurg Bekabad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
03.07.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Turon	1:1
21.11.21	Metallurg Bekabad - Turon	1:0
02.07.21	Turon - Metallurg Bekabad	2:0

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