Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 25

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Tuzla Belediyesi Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Tuzlaspor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.45	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.81
	2.61	3.18	2.9
	2.38	3.1	2.7
	2.48	3.14	2.75
	2.35	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.42)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzlaspor
38.2%

Draw
29%

Keçiörengücü
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tuzlaspor will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tuzlaspor: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yurt K. (G) 22. Cinar Z. 33. Akkan G. 96. Giritlioglu C. 42. Coskun M. 44. Bangoura S. 19. Ciftci H. 10. Akarslan M. 18. Novikovas A. 17. Mamba S. 28. Togui W.	71. Ucar M. (G) 9. Inan M. 94. Kesim A. 15. Sengul A. 3. Cinan M. 95. Traore A. 21. Okyar M. 20. Ilgaz S. 11. Bardhi J. 14. Camara M. 10. Dembele P. M.
Substitutes
15. Aktas A. 27. Asatekin S. 12. Ba M. 77. Bas S. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 4. Hasanalizada B. 11. Kose A. 24. Koyuncu E. (G) 7. Stankovski L. 90. Tasdemir B. A.	92. Akdemir U. 7. Ariyibi G. 8. Cetin S. 6. Develi E. 30. Eyibil E. 1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 4. Kula M. 36. Nahirci O. 50. Yazar A. 35. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Kocabiyik G.	Tahsin T.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 3.

Tuzlaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Keçiörengücü is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzlaspor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
26.02.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Tuzlaspor	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Adanaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Eyüpspor - Tuzlaspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
25.02.24	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Giresunspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Keçiörengücü - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
26.01.24	Adanaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:2
02.04.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:1
30.10.22	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:3
26.02.22	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	1:0
02.10.21	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0
17.04.21	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:1
13.12.20	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0

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