Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 10

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday

Location: Övrevi IP (Tvååker)


	Tvååker		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.7	4.33
	1.63	3.75	4.75
	1.67	3.84	4.51
	1.68	3.84	4.51
	1.66	3.84	4.64	Watch
	1.64	3.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)	3.8 ↓ (4.1)	4.52 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tvååker
55.5%

Draw
24.2%

Ljungskile
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.8%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tvååker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tvååker than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tvååker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tvååker - Ljungskile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Svensson A. (G) 2. Ahmadi M. 13. Bryneus O. 15. Johansson N. 4. Nilsson V. (C) 12. Nilsson W. 18. Ruuska O. 11. Sjoland M. 9. Sondergaard A. 21. Van Assema T. 19. Zander E.	37. Amos T. (G) 10. Ambroz F. 6. Bahno M. 99. Corner L. 14. Hussain M. 17. Jatta N. 11. Kamara J. T. 7. Liljedahl J. 4. Ohlsson S. (C) 19. Olsson P. 23. Uzel M.
Substitutes
6. Bendrik D. 10. Danielsson D. 8. Gustafsson F. 3. Gustavsson G. 17. Redenfors J. 1. Svensson A. (G) 14. Wiman I.	9. Bosnic S. 21. Kingsley A. A. 5. Saleh M. 20. Svernfors D. 12. Wardrop S. 1. Westgards E. (G) 16. Zetterlund J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ohlsson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sondergaard A. ↓, Wiman I. ↑,
46', Ruuska O. ↓, Danielsson D. ↑,
51', Liljedahl J. 🟨,
63', Zander E. ↓, Redenfors J. ↑,
63', Sjoland M. ↓, Gustafsson F. ↑,
64', Liljedahl J. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,
65', Corner L. ↓, Zetterlund J. ↑,
65', Jatta N. ↓, Kingsley A. A. ↑,
72', Uzel M. ↓, Wardrop S. ↑,
79', Ambroz F. ↓, Svernfors D. ↑,
82', Wardrop S. 🟨,
90+1', Kingsley A. A. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Zetterlund J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tvååker won 2.

Recent matches Tvååker is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ljungskile is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tvååker have a series of guest games.

In this match Tvååker is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tvååker won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Tvååker won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tvååkers IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.05.24	Lunds - Tvååker	1:0 ✺
13.05.24	Jönköpings Södra - Tvååker	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Tvååker - Norrby	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Rosengård 1917 - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Torn - Tvååker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWWL
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.05.24	Ljungskile - Jönköpings Södra	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Rosengård 1917 - Ljungskile	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Ljungskile - Trollhättan	1:5 ✺
04.05.24	Ängelholm - Ljungskile	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Ljungskile - Eskilsminne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.11.23	Ljungskile - Tvååker	2:0
21.05.23	Tvååker - Ljungskile	2:1
10.09.22	Ljungskile - Tvååker	1:0
25.05.22	Tvååker - Ljungskile	0:0
12.11.21	Tvååker - Ljungskile	4:1
23.06.21	Ljungskile - Tvååker	2:3
Club Friendly
13.03.21	Tvååker - Ljungskile	2:1

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