Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)


	Tyumen		Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.5	3.28
	2.1	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
44.8%

Draw
28.1%

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tyumen - Mashuk KMV Pyatigorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Yanovich N. (G) 11. Babaev V. 72. Bem A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 88. Bolov R. 27. Chudin I. (C) 33. Lavrenkov A. 13. Petrov M. 8. Pyatkin I. 90. Shakuro P. 17. Shitov V.	22. Suvorov O. (G) 23. Abazov A. 21. Bogomolov D. 13. Butenko A. 10. Gusengadzhiev R. 11. Khutov A. 4. Machilov R. (C) 95. Magomadov C. 14. Osadchiy I. 19. Selemenev I. 99. Sharifullin L.
Substitutes
19. Bykovskiy A. 1. Dovgal A. (G) 63. Dudarin K. 95. Edapin M. (G) 47. Frolov Y. 77. Galstyan G. 24. Grinvald V. 89. Lutsev A. 10. Mokaev I. 97. Talikin D. 23. Zuykov S.	9. Abakarov M. 33. Domotsev A. 3. Khagur R. 26. Nakaev Z. 30. Saganovich D. (G) 5. Saidov A. 8. Saygushev E. 17. Topuria T. 7. Torosyan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Bogomolov D. ⚽,
15', Babaev V. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Khutov A. ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, Selemenev I. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Bem A. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 3, Babaev V. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chudin I. ↓, Talikin D. ↑,
48', Gusengadzhiev R. 🟨,
52', 3 - 3, Bolov R. ⚽,
67', Selemenev I. ↓, Topuria T. ↑,
67', Gusengadzhiev R. ↓, Torosyan S. ↑,
71', Shitov V. ↓, Bykovskiy A. ↑,
76', Khutov A. ↓, Saygushev E. ↑,
76', Osadchiy I. ↓, Domotsev A. ↑,
78', Bolov R. 🟨,
82', Butenko A. ↓, Nakaev Z. ↑,
82', Bolov R. ↓, Dudarin K. ↑,
86', Saygushev E. 🟨,
90', Babaev V. ↓, Lutsev A. ↑,
90+2', Nakaev Z. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

In recent matches, Tyumen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mashuk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Mashuk has had a series of home games.

Tyumen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.09.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tyumen - Veles Moscow	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Tyumen	0:6 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.25	Tyumen - Ilpar Ilyinsky	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kuban-Kholding	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.09.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Dynamo Kirov - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Spartak Nalchik	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

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