Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	UCSA		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.30
	2.02	3.30	2.95
	2.13	3.27	2.98
	2.16	3.38	3.04	Watch
	1.91	3.44	3.91
	1.73	3.21	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.73)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	3.4 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
45.8%

Draw
27.5%

Inhulets
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCSA's form might have worsened.

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inhulets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCSA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inhulets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCSA - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 73. Castro P. (C) 21. Dvorovenko V. 11. Emere A. 9. Khoblenko O. 32. Petko S. 45. Sabiyev D. 23. Shershen M. 49. Vitinho 6. Yuvkhymets R. 28. Zhdanovych O.	24. Slutskyi O. (G) 8. Benedyuk A. 5. Dankovskyi Y. 4. Dubiley V. 17. Khussin T. 2. Malysh S. (C) 14. Prykhodko N. 30. Tuzenko D. 10. Ursolov S. 22. Yanyuk D. 78. Yevtushenko O.
Substitutes
20. Andrushchenko M. 70. Irodovskyi D. 12. Kovalyov A. (G) 42. Makhnev D. 10. Matheusinho 15. Osman O. 1. Postemskyi O. (G) 77. Potskhveria I. 17. Sklyar O. 7. Sytnykov M. 87. Wojciechowski V. 4. Zakhidnyi P.	35. Banyk D. 3. Dzyubin M. 26. Karlyuk D. (G) 9. Knyazev Y. 6. Komar O. 21. Manastyrnyi O. 59. Mogylnyi B. 11. Profatylo Y. 25. Rozhko V. 69. Yanovich Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Benedyuk A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Ursolov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Shershen M. 🟨,
66', Yevtushenko O. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
70', Khussin T. ↓, Mogylnyi B. ↑,
70', Tuzenko D. ↓, Knyazev Y. ↑,
75', Yushchyshyn V. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Mogylnyi B. ⚽,
82', Dvorovenko V. ↓, Makhnev D. ↑,
82', Emere A. ↓, Sytnykov M. ↑,
83', Prykhodko N. ↓, Rozhko V. ↑,
84', Yuvkhymets R. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Sytnykov M. ⚽,
89', Yevtushenko O. ↓, Manastyrnyi O. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).

Recent performances by UCSA have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Inhulets is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, UCSA is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCSA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, UCSA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Inhulets	9	4	2	3	10:11	-1	14
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	UCSA - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Poltava - UCSA	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	UCSA - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	UCSA - Oleksandriya	4:4 ✺
25.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - UCSA	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWTT
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.26	Inhulets - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Inhulets - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.04.26	Inhulets - UCSA	0:2
14.09.25	UCSA - Inhulets	0:0

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