Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	UD San Pedro		Marbellí

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.05	1.85
	4.73	3.24	1.77
	3.9	3	1.85
	4.4	3.06	1.83
	4.2	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.38)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Pedro
21.2%

Draw
29.3%

Marbellí
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

30.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Pedro's form might have worsened.

Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marbellí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Pedro than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marbellí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD San Pedro - Marbellí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Rubio D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6).

San Pedro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marbellí is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marbellí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Pedro has had a series of away games.

Marbellí will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Marbelli	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
7	UD San Pedro	5	3	0	2	7:8	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Pedro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.01.26	Mancha Real - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arenas Armilla - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Torreperogil - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	UD San Pedro - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Torre Del Mar - UD San Pedro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL
- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.01.26	Marbellí - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Marbellí - Torredonjimeno	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Granada B - Marbellí	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Marbellí - Huétor Vega	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Huétor Tájar - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWL

UD San Pedro - Marbellí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide