The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UMS de Loum 35.8%
Draw 32.1%
Fovu Baham 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
32%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
30.9%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UMS de Loum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Fovu Baham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMS de Loum than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fovu Baham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite Two and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches UMS de Loum won 0.
UMS de Loum is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Fovu Baham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
UMS de Loum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches UMS de Loum won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.
Including matches at home between the teams UMS de Loum won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.