Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday


	URSL Vise		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.4
				Watch
	2.6	3.42	2.5
	2.6	3.42	2.49
	3.25	3.2	1.95
	2.61	3.18	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.09)	3.28 ↓ (3.63)	2.36 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

URSL Vise
33.5%

Draw
27.8%

Excelsior Virton
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.7%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

URSL Vise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior Virton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for URSL Vise than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior Virton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

URSL Vise - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Virton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Virton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches URSL Vise won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- URSL Vise
Belgian National Division 1
17.03.24	URSL Vise - Hoogstraten	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Knokke - URSL Vise	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	URSL Vise - Thes Sport	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	URSL Vise - Namur	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - URSL Vise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWT
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
16.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Charleroi B	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Namur - Excelsior Virton	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	RAAL La Louvière - Excelsior Virton	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Excelsior Virton - Gent B	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Thes Sport - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
02.09.23	Excelsior Virton - URSL Vise	2:3

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