Match Info

World Cup U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Canada	TSN 4
China	ZhiBo8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Japan	J sports 2
Mexico	TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
Usa	NBC Universo, Telemundo, TUDN, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus
World	FIFA+


	USA U20		Italy U20

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.08	3.2	3.45
	2.25	3.07	3.5
	2.19	3.37	3.28	Watch
	2.21	3.14	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.59)	3.2 (3.2)	3.38 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA U20
43%

Draw
29.3%

Italy U20
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USA U20's performance.

Italy U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy U20 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

USA U20 - Italy U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Italy U20 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy U20 (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - USA U20 (1.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Italy U20 (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Italy U20 (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. USA U20 (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Italy U20 (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Beaudry A. (G) Colorado Rapids 17. Westfield F. Philadelphia Union 16. Kohler E. Verl 4. Wynder J. Benfica 3. Norris N. FC Dallas 6. Raines B. Houston Dynamo 8. Cremaschi B. (C) Parma 10. Tsakiris N. San Jose Earthquakes 7. Campbell C. Dortmund 14. Habroune T. Columbus Crew 20. Gozo Z. Real Salt Lake	12. Seghetti J. (G) Livorno 15. Verde F. Juventus 4. Corradi C. Trento 5. Natali A. Jong AZ Alkmaar 2. Idele J. Atalanta 8. Mannini M. (C) Juve Stabia 21. Riccio L. Atalanta 3. Cama C. AS Roma 11. Mosconi M. Inter 19. Okoro A. Juventus 17. Iddrissou J. Inter
Substitutes
2. Baker-Whiting R. Seattle Sounders 1. Beavers G. (G) Brondby 18. Bombino L. San Diego FC 11. Brennan L. Atlanta United 5. Cobb N. Colorado Rapids 19. Corcoran M. Nashville SC 21. Ferree D. (G) San Diego FC 13. Miller P. New England Revolution 15. Soma P. San Diego FC 9. Zambrano M. Real Salt Lake	13. Benjamin E. Real Madrid 16. Berretta A. Giana Erminio 9. Konate I. Empoli 20. Liberali M. Catanzaro 1. Nunziante A. (G) Udinese 10. Romano M. 14. Sala E. AC Milan 7. Sardo J. Monza 18. Siviero L. (G) Torino
Coaches
Mitrovic M.	Nunziata C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Cremaschi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Iddrissou J. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
57', Mosconi M. ↓, Romano M. ↑,
57', Riccio L. ↓, Sala E. ↑,
60', Campbell C. ↓, Miller P. ↑,
65', Norris N. 🟨,
71', Habroune T. ↓, Zambrano M. ↑,
72', Gozo Z. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
78', Verde F. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Tsakiris N. ⚽,
84', Idele J. ↓, Benjamin E. ↑,
87', Norris N. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
87', Tsakiris N. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Cremaschi B. ⚽, Brennan L. (A),

Preview

USA U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Italy U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

USA U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

USA U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA U20
FIFA World Cup U20
05.10.25	South Africa U20 - USA U20	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	USA U20 - France U20	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	USA U20 - New Caledonia U20	9:1 ✺
Friendly
07.09.25	Morocco U20 - USA U20	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	USA U20 - Morocco U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW
- Italy U20
FIFA World Cup U20
04.10.25	Argentina U20 - Italy U20	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Italy U20 - Cuba U20	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Italy U20 - Australia U20	1:0 ✺
Elite League U20
09.09.25	Germany U20 - Italy U20	4:0 ✺
Friendly
05.09.25	England U20 - Italy U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW

USA U20 - Italy U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide