Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Championship U20 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	TUDN, ViX Gratis, VIX+
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	TUDN
World	Disney+


	USA U20		Mexico U20

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.86	2.35
	3.11	3.17	2.22	Watch
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.22	3.22	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.86)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA U20
29.3%

Draw
29.9%

Mexico U20
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.7%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The chances for Mexico U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA U20 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mexico U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

USA U20 - Mexico U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Beaudry A. (G) Colorado Rapids 2. Harangi A. 4. Cobb N. Atlanta United 3. Norris N. (C) FC Dallas 15. Bombino L. Los Angeles FC 8. Raines B. Houston Dynamo 6. Soma P. Cornella 7. Berchimas N. Charlotte FC 10. Tsakiris N. San Jose Earthquakes 11. Vazquez D. Philadelphia Union 20. Ramos Jr. R. Los Angeles Galaxy	1. Ochoa E. (G) San Jose Earthquakes 3. Pachuca Martinez J. R. Puebla 4. Ochoa D. 2. Mendez F. Guadalajara Chivas 11. Jurado H. Necaxa 14. Morales A. 6. Garza C. Monterrey 8. Montiel E. (C) Pachuca 17. Sanchez Guevara D. A. U.A.N.L.- Tigres 9. Carrillo S. Santos Laguna 10. Padilla Y.
Substitutes
1. Eyestone J. (G) 21. Ferree D. (G) San Diego FC 17. Figueroa K. Liverpool 18. Gozo Z. Real Monarchs 14. Habroune T. Columbus Crew 5. Hawkins S. Seattle Sounders 16. Kohler E. Werder Bremen 13. Medina C. San Jose Earthquakes 19. Oregel S. Chicago Fire 9. Zambrano M. Vitoria Guimaraes	20. Biscayzacu X. 5. Bustos C. Monterrey 18. Contreras A. Pachuca 15. Juarez Ricardo Juarez 12. Lara P. (G) U.N.A.M.- Pumas 19. Levy M. Cruz Azul 21. Orantes J. (G) Necaxa 16. Tellez B. Tapatio 13. Villal J. Atletico San Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramos Jr. R. ↓, Zambrano M. ↑,
46', Vazquez D. ↓, Gozo Z. ↑,
49', Gozo Z. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Berchimas N. ⚽,
60', Beaudry A. 🟨,
72', Soma P. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
74', Habroune T. 🟨,
74', Ochoa D. 🟨,
80', Bombino L. 🟨,
82', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
84', Tsakiris N. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
87', Carrillo S. 🟨,
89', Bustos C. 🟨,
90+1', Berchimas N. 🟨,
90+2', Raines B. ↓, Hawkins S. ↑,
90+4', Garza C. 🟨,
90+5', Medina C. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Levy M. ⚽, Padilla Y. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Cobb N. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
95', Morales A. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
95', Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↓, Bustos C. ↑,
120+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

USA U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mexico U20 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches USA U20 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA U20
CONCACAF Championship U20
02.08.24	USA U20 - Panama U20	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	USA U20 - Guatemala U20	1:0 ✺
26.07.24	USA U20 - Costa Rica U20	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Cuba U20 - USA U20	0:4 ✺
19.07.24	USA U20 - Jamaica U20	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW
- Mexico U20
CONCACAF Championship U20
02.08.24	Cuba U20 - Mexico U20	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Mexico U20 - Costa Rica U20	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Mexico U20 - Panama U20	1:1 ✺
24.07.24	Guatemala U20 - Mexico U20	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Mexico U20 - Haiti U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
24.09.22	Mexico U20 - USA U20	2:1
16.11.21	USA U20 - Mexico U20	1:2
CONCACAF Championship U20
21.11.18	USA U20 - Mexico U20	2:0
27.02.17	USA U20 - Mexico U20	1:0
03.03.13	Mexico U20 - USA U20	3:1 OT

USA U20 - Mexico U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide