Match Info

WORLD: PAN AMERICAN GAMES - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	USA U23		Mexico U23

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.87
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.59	3.35	2.11
	3.59	3.14	2.11
	3.25	3.4	1.91
	3.5	3.46	2.01
	3.35	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.1)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA U23
26.3%

Draw
27.4%

Mexico U23
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mexico U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA U23 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mexico U23 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

USA U23 - Mexico U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches USA U23 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mexico U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mexico U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches USA U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA U23
Pan American Games Football
01.11.23	Chile U23 - USA U23	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Colombia U23 - USA U23	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	USA U23 - Honduras U23	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Brazil U23 - USA U23	1:0 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	USA U23 - Japan U23	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- Mexico U23
Pan American Games Football
01.11.23	Mexico U23 - Brazil U23	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Uruguay U23 - Mexico U23	0:1 ✺
26.10.23	Mexico U23 - Dominican Republic U23	0:0 ✺
23.10.23	Chile U23 - Mexico U23	1:0 ✺
Friendly
14.10.23	Mexico U23 - Japan U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.10.23	USA U23 - Mexico U23	2:1
Olympic Games - Football
24.03.21	Mexico U23 - USA U23	1:0

USA U23 - Mexico U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide