Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stade de l'USFA (Ouagadougou)


	USFA		AS SONABEL

	1	X	2
	2.16	2.89	3.53	Watch
	2.15	2.81	3.57
	2.12	2.84	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USFA
42.5%

Draw
32%

AS SONABEL
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

32%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AS SONABEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFA than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS SONABEL than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

USFA - AS SONABEL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Nabaldeda I. ⚽, Koutiama Y. (A),
90+2', 2 - 0, Kante A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USFA won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

USFA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, USFA won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, USFA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFA
Burkina Faso Premier League
14.11.25	USFA - RDF	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sporting Cascades - USFA	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - USFA	0:4 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.10.25	Djoliba - USFA	2:1 ✺
Burkina Faso Premier League
08.10.25	USFA - RC Bobo Dioulasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLW
- AS SONABEL
Burkina Faso Premier League
14.11.25	Rahimo - AS SONABEL	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	AS SONABEL - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	AS SONABEL - Majestic	0:0 ✺
27.10.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - AS SONABEL	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	CFFEB - AS SONABEL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
11.10.24	USFA - AS SONABEL	2:3
17.04.24	AS SONABEL - USFA	1:1
10.01.24	USFA - AS SONABEL	1:1
13.01.23	AS SONABEL - USFA	1:1
22.12.22	USFA - AS SONABEL	0:1
13.03.22	AS SONABEL - USFA	1:1
13.12.21	USFA - AS SONABEL	0:1

USFA - AS SONABEL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide