Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	USM Alger		Belouizdad

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.80	2.70
	2.62	2.82	2.72
	2.75	2.92	3
	2.76	2.91	2.76	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.59	2.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.98)	2.83 ↓ (3)	2.78 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
34.9%

Draw
32.3%

Belouizdad
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Belouizdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belouizdad than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belouizdad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

USM Alger - Belouizdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Benbot O. (G) 28. Abada A. 5. Azzi I. 8. Benguit A. 24. Bouderbala M. 6. Draoui Z. 11. Likonza G. 12. Loucif H. 20. Mahrouz R. 19. Radouani S. 15. Ramdaoui M.	30. Chaal F. (G) 4. Akacem R. 3. Benayada H. 20. Ben Hammouda M. 12. Boualia K. 23. Bouchar S. 6. Boudjemaa M. 29. Boukerchaoui B. 10. El Melali F. 27. Kaassis D. 21. Laouafi Y.
Substitutes
21. Bayoud I. 10. Bensaadallah D. 9. Boulaya F. 16. Hadid M. (G) 29. Kamagate D. 7. Khaldi A. 32. Limane A. 4. Malone Junior C. 17. Tendeng A.	15. Bendahmane B. 1. Bousseder T. (G) 9. Boussouar L. 17. Chelfaoui M. Y. 13. Elkouacher H. 7. Etouga F. 19. Kahia A. 5. Kelaleche A. 14. Ngandziami J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Ben Hammouda M. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Draoui Z. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 0 - 2, Ben Hammouda M. ⚽,
29', Ben Hammouda M. 🟨,
39', Ben Hammouda M. ↓, Etouga F. ↑,
45+10', 1 - 2, Ramdaoui M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Likonza G. ↓, Boulaya F. ↑,
46', Draoui Z. ↓, Bensaadallah D. ↑,
46', Loucif H. ↓, Bensaadallah D. ↑,
54', Bouchar S. 🟨,
56', Laouafi Y. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Radouani S. ⚽,
61', Mahrouz R. 🟨,
72', El Melali F. ↓, Ngandziami J. ↑,
72', Boualia K. ↓, Boussouar L. ↑,
79', Abada A. 🟥,
82', Benguit A. ↓, Tendeng A. ↑,
82', Bouderbala M. ↓, Malone Junior C. ↑,
83', Benayada H. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', Kaassis D. ↓, Chelfaoui M. Y. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 2.

USM Alger is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Belouizdad is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, USM Alger has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for USM Alger against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CR Belouizdad	6	4	2	0	11:7	4	14
5	USM Alger	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Belouizdad - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
13.10.26	USM Alger - Saoura	1:0 ✺
08.10.26	Rouissat - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Olympique Akbou - USM Alger	2:3 ✺
10.09.26	USM Alger - El Biar	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Khenchela - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWT
- CR Belouizdad
Algerian Ligue 1
12.10.26	El Biar - Belouizdad	2:3 ✺
07.10.26	Belouizdad - Khenchela	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Biskra - Belouizdad	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Belouizdad - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	ASO Chlef - Belouizdad	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
02.06.26	USM Alger - Belouizdad	1:1
Algerian Cup
30.04.26	USM Alger - Belouizdad	2:1
Algerian Ligue 1
08.11.25	Belouizdad - USM Alger	0:0
Algerian Cup
05.07.25	USM Alger - Belouizdad	2:0
Algerian Ligue 1
16.03.25	Belouizdad - USM Alger	1:1
18.10.24	USM Alger - Belouizdad	0:0
Algerian Cup
24.04.24	Belouizdad - USM Alger	1:0 penalties

USM Alger - Belouizdad