Match Info

Date: 5 June 2021, Saturday


	USM Blida		El Harrach

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.6
	4.7	3.3	1.63
	5	3.4	1.62
	5	3.42	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.56)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	1.63 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Blida
18.5%

Draw
26.7%

El Harrach
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.5%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Blida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USM Blida's form might have worsened.

El Harrach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Harrach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Blida than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Harrach than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Harrach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	2.2%	94.4%

USM Blida - El Harrach Predictions

Users Predictions: El Harrach will win (84 of 89 users predict this - 94.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.6% – 99.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

USM Blida is Relegated to

USM Blida is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Harrach is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match El Harrach is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches USM Blida won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams USM Blida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Blida
Algerian Ligue 2
01.06.21	CR Béni Thour - USM Blida	4:0 ✺
27.05.21	MO Béjaïa - USM Blida	2:0 ✺
22.05.21	USM Blida - WR MSila	1:0 ✺
18.05.21	Ben Aknoun - USM Blida	2:0 ✺
08.05.21	USM Blida - Widad Adabi de Boufarik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- El Harrach
Algerian Ligue 2
01.06.21	El Harrach - MO Béjaïa	1:0 ✺
27.05.21	WR MSila - El Harrach	1:3 ✺
22.05.21	El Harrach - Ben Aknoun	1:0 ✺
18.05.21	Widad Adabi de Boufarik - El Harrach	4:3 ✺
08.05.21	El Harrach - Kouba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
30.03.21	El Harrach - USM Blida	1:1
10.04.19	El Harrach - USM Blida	3:0
Algerian Ligue 1
16.03.18	USM Blida - El Harrach	2:0
20.10.17	El Harrach - USM Blida	2:0
23.01.16	El Harrach - USM Blida	2:0
22.08.15	USM Blida - El Harrach	0:1

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