Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 23

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	USM Oujda		Widad Fez

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.68	3.05
	2.39	2.6	3.24
	2.4	2.5	3
	2.4	2.65	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.18)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)	3.14 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Oujda
37.1%

Draw
34.3%

Widad Fez
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Oujda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Widad Fez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Oujda than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Oujda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widad Fez than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

USM Oujda - Widad Fez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Oujda won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

USM Oujda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, USM Oujda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, USM Oujda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wydad Fes	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
4	USM Oujda	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Oujda
Moroccan Botola 2
26.04.26	Stade Marocain - USM Oujda	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	USM Oujda - Amal Tiznit	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	KAC Kenitra - USM Oujda	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	USM Oujda - Raja de Beni Mellal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTW
- Widad Fez
Moroccan Botola 2
25.04.26	Widad Fez - Raja de Beni Mellal	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Amal Tiznit - Widad Fez	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Widad Fez - KAC Kenitra	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Widad Fez	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Widad Fez - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola 2
15.11.25	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	2:0
14.05.25	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	2:0
12.01.25	USM Oujda - Widad Fez	2:1
08.06.24	USM Oujda - Widad Fez	1:0
10.12.23	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	1:0
06.05.23	USM Oujda - Widad Fez	1:0
06.11.22	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	1:0

USM Oujda - Widad Fez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide