Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Uerdingen		Paderborn II

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.25	3.65	2.08
	3.18	3.58	2.02
	3.14	3.5	2.02
	3.2	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.3)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	2.03 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
28.9%

Draw
25.9%

Paderborn II
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uerdingen's form might have worsened.

Paderborn II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uerdingen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Uerdingen - Paderborn II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Fehr J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Vega Zambrano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Fehr J. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Werner N. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Uerdingen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paderborn II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paderborn II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German Regionalliga West
05.10.24	Köln II - Uerdingen	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Uerdingen - Eintracht Hohkeppel	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Düren - Uerdingen	5:3 ✺
13.09.24	Uerdingen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Bocholt - Uerdingen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLLL
- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
05.10.24	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Paderborn II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Türkspor Dortmund - Paderborn II	3:7 ✺
13.09.24	Paderborn II - Gütersloh	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Paderborn II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLL

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