Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Uerdingen		Velbert

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.79
	3.79	3.54	1.88
	4.54	4.18	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.56)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
23%

Draw
24.6%

Velbert
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

21.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.9%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Velbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1.

Recent matches Uerdingen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Velbert is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Velbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Velbert is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Uerdingen won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German Oberliga Niederrhein
17.09.22	St Tonis - Uerdingen	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Uerdingen - Union Nettetal	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Baumberg - Uerdingen	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Uerdingen - TVD Velbert	1:4 ✺
20.08.22	FSV Duisburg - Uerdingen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLW
- SSVg Velbert
German Oberliga Niederrhein
21.09.22	Velbert - St Tonis	4:0 ✺
18.09.22	Union Nettetal - Velbert	1:3 ✺
09.09.22	Velbert - Baumberg	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	TVD Velbert - Velbert	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Velbert - FSV Duisburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.17	Velbert - Uerdingen	0:0
German Oberliga Niederrhein
25.03.17	Uerdingen - Velbert	2:2
18.09.16	Velbert - Uerdingen	1:1
German Regionalliga West
24.05.14	Velbert - Uerdingen	0:1
29.01.14	Uerdingen - Velbert	2:2

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