Match Info

NB I. - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Szusza Ferenc Stadion (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Ujpest		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.55
	4.8	4	1.57
	4.95	4.25	1.55
	6.08	4.62	1.5
	5.48	4.47	1.52	Watch
	5	4	1.53
	5.16	4.2	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.82)	4.25 ↑ (4.23)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest
17.8%

Draw
21.8%

Ferencvárosi
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.1%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Ferencvárosi aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ujpest - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Banai D. (G) 2. Bodnar G. 55. Fiola A. (C) 94. Stronati P. 44. Gergenyi B. 38. Sarkadi K. 77. Fenyo N. 10. Maier A. 11. Horvath K. 88. Ljujic M. 17. Matko A.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 4. Gomez M. 28. Raemaekers T. 22. Szalai G. 14. Osvath A. 36. Kanichowsky G. 88. Rommens P. 16. Zachariassen K. 47. O'Dowda C. 30. Gruber Z. 75. Joseph L.
Substitutes
8. Ademi A. 7. Beridze G. 9. Brodic F. 31. Dombo D. (G) 4. Feher C. 19. Gradisar N. 18. Lacoux T. 15. Mucsanyi M. 30. Nunes J. 1. Piscitelli R. (G) 34. Tucic M. 39. Vlijter G.	15. Abu Fani M. 20. Cadu 11. Dele 5. Keita N. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 80. Maiga H. 25. Makreckis C. 77. Nagy B. 66. Romao J. 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Szelesi Z.	Keane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Zachariassen K. ⚽, Gruber Z. (A),
27', Bodnar G. 🟨,
30', Szalai G. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Kanichowsky G. ⚽, O'Dowda C. (A),
43', Fiola A. 🟨,
45', Ljujic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 3, Joseph L. ⚽, Gruber Z. (A),
58', Horvath K. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
58', Sarkadi K. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Joseph L. ⚽, Gruber Z. (A),
66', Zachariassen K. ↓, Abu Fani M. ↑,
69', Matko A. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
69', Bodnar G. ↓, Nunes J. ↑,
70', Vlijter G. 🟨,
71', Joseph L. ↓, Dele ↑,
71', Gruber Z. ↓, Lisztes K. ↑,
72', Szalai G. ↓, Lakatos C. ↑,
72', Maier A. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
87', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Levi J. ↑,
90+9', 0 - 5, Abu Fani M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 0.

Ujpest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferencvárosi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ujpest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ferencvárosi has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ferencvárosi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 7:49. (average 0.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ujpest	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14
5	Ferencvaros	7	3	3	1	11:8	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
25.04.26	Puskás Academy - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Ujpest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	7:2 ✺
11.04.26	Kazincbarcikai - Ujpest	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTL
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
26.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
22.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Győri ETO	3:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB I
19.04.26	Győri ETO - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
07.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	3:0
19.10.25	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	1:1
06.04.25	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	2:0
Hungarian Cup
02.04.25	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	3:1
Hungarian NB I
01.12.24	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	0:0
17.08.24	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	1:0
19.05.24	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	2:0

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