Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ujpest II		III. Kerületi TVE

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.30	2.55
	2.75	3.55	2.05
	2.64	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.25	3.80	2.55
	2.31	3.85	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.75)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	2.45 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest II
37%

Draw
25.9%

III. Kerületi TVE
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ujpest II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

III. Kerületi TVE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and III. Kerületi TVE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest II than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for III. Kerületi TVE than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that III. Kerületi TVE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ujpest II - III. Kerületi TVE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 2nd).

Ujpest II has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

III. Kerületi TVE is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

III. Kerületi TVE may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ujpest II has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 2.5:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ujpest II against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	III. Keruleti TVE	13	8	2	3	16:6	10	26
7	Ujpest II	13	5	4	4	29:20	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC II
Hungarian NB III Southeast
10.10.26	Várfürdő-Gyulai Termál - Ujpest II	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ujpest II - Monori	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Ujpest II - Szolnoki MÁV	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Honved II - Ujpest II	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ujpest II - Szegedi VSE	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWLW
- III. Kerületi TVE
Hungarian NB III Southeast
10.10.26	III. Kerületi TVE - Szolnoki MÁV	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Honved II - III. Kerületi TVE	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	III. Kerületi TVE - Szegedi VSE	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Dabas - III. Kerületi TVE	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	III. Kerületi TVE - Szeged II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Northwest
17.11.24	Ujpest II - III. Kerületi TVE	0:2
28.07.24	III. Kerületi TVE - Ujpest II	4:5

Ujpest II - III. Kerületi TVE