Match Info

NB III - Northwest - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Ujpest II		Pápai Perutz

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.35
	1.63	3.8	4.03
	1.65	3.75	4.53	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.2
	1.6	3.88	4.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)	3.83 ↓ (4)	4.34 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest II
55.7%

Draw
23.5%

Pápai Perutz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ujpest II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Pápai Perutz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest II than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pápai Perutz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ujpest II - Pápai Perutz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation)

Pápai Perutz is Relegated to

Ujpest II has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pápai Perutz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pápai Perutz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ujpest II is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ujpest II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Papai Perutz	10	3	2	5	9:19	-10	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC II
Hungarian NB III Northwest
10.05.26	Zsámbék - Ujpest II	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Ujpest II - Haladás VSE	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ujpest II - Mosonmagyaróvár	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Budaörsi SC - Ujpest II	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ujpest II - Puskas Academy II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTWT
- Pápai Perutz FC
Hungarian NB III Northwest
10.05.26	Pápai Perutz - Budaörsi SC	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Puskas Academy II - Pápai Perutz	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Komáromi VSE - Pápai Perutz	8:2 ✺
11.04.26	Pápai Perutz - Balatonfüredi	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Tatabánya - Pápai Perutz	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Northwest
02.11.25	Pápai Perutz - Ujpest II	3:3

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