Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League B - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	Disney+, Globoplay, SporTV 2
Bulgaria	21:45	Nova Sport
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	Disney+
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	22:45	Silk Sport 3
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports 4
Hungary	20:45	M4 Sport
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:45	SuperSport Football Plus
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	21:45	Suspilne Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Ukraine		Hungary

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.9
	2.60	2.95	2.87
	2.62	3	2.9
	2.74	3.06	2.98
	2.79	3.15	2.99	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.9
	2.72	3.09	2.95	Watch
	2.65	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	2.91 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukraine
35.7%

Draw
31.5%

Hungary
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Hungary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	46.2%	23.1%

Ukraine - Hungary Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Hungary will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27% – 65.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 1 - 20%). Hungary (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hungary (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hungary (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Trubin A. (G) Benfica 13. Zabarnyi I. PSG 3. Sarapiy E. Polissya Zhytomyr 4. Mykhavko T. Dynamo Kyiv 2. Krupskyi I. FC Kharkiv 19. Nazaryna Y. Shakhtar 18. Ocheretko O. Shakhtar 21. Veleten V. Polissya Zhytomyr 15. Tsygankov V. (C) Ajax 10. Ponomarenko M. Dynamo Kyiv 22. Krasnopir I. Polissya Zhytomyr	1. Toth B. (G) Blackburn 2. Osvath A. Ferencvaros 6. Orban W. RB Leipzig 3. Csinger M. Groningen 18. Nagy Z. Puskas Academy 13. Schafer A. Union Berlin 10. Szoboszlai D. (C) Liverpool 16. Lukacs D. Puskas Academy 8. Vitalis M. AEK 21. Toth A. Bournemouth 20. Toth M. Vasas
Substitutes
5. Bondar V. Shakhtar 6. Brazhko V. Dynamo Kyiv 14. Drambayev O. LNZ Cherkasy 20. Khlan M. Gornik Zabrze 8. Nazarenko O. Polissya Zhytomyr 17. Pikhalyonok O. Dynamo Kyiv 23. Riznyk D. (G) Shakhtar 11. Vanat V. Girona 16. Varfolomeev I. Lincoln City 9. Yaremchuk R. Olympiacos Piraeus 7. Yarmolenko A. Dynamo Kyiv 1. Yermakov G. (G) FC Kharkiv	9. Barany D. Den Haag 14. Bolla B. Rapid Vienna 15. Csongvai A. St Etienne 23. Doktorics A. Vasas 12. Gundel-Takacs B. (G) Zalaegerszegi 17. Jurek G. MTK Budapest 5. Markgraf A. FC Copenhagen 22. Pecsi A. (G) Hartberg 11. Szalai J. Paks 7. Szucs T. Famalicao 19. Toth R. Konyaspor 4. Varkonyi B. Qarabag Agdam
Coaches
Maldera A.	Rossi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Toth M. ⚽, Vitalis M. (A),
55', Lukacs D. 🟨,
60', Ponomarenko M. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
60', Veleten V. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
60', Krasnopir I. ↓, Vanat V. ↑,
61', Lukacs D. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
62', Toth A. ↓, Szucs T. ↑,
70', Ocheretko O. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
72', Schafer A. ↓, Toth R. ↑,
72', Toth M. ↓, Szalai J. ↑,
78', Toth R. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Yaremchuk R. ⚽, Pikhalyonok O. (A),
85', 1 - 2, Csinger M. ⚽, Toth R. (A),
86', Nazaryna Y. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
87', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Csongvai A. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Ukraine is ranked FIFA: 33., and Hungary is ranked FIFA: 39..

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ukraine has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine
UEFA Nations League
02.10.26	Ukraine - Northern Ireland	0:3 ✺
28.09.26	Georgia - Ukraine	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Hungary - Ukraine	0:1 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Denmark - Ukraine	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Poland - Ukraine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWLW
- Hungary
UEFA Nations League
02.10.26	Hungary - Georgia	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Northern Ireland - Hungary	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Hungary - Ukraine	0:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Hungary - Kazakhstan	3:1 ✺
05.06.26	Hungary - Finland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
25.09.26	Hungary - Ukraine	0:1

Ukraine - Hungary