Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Ullern		Frigg Oslo

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.15	2.04
	2.57	4.25	2.05
	2.65	4.34	2.09	Watch
	2.6	3.8	2.05
	2.64	4.15	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.87)	4.14 ↓ (4.32)	2.06 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
34.5%

Draw
21.8%

Frigg Oslo
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

21.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

20.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ullern's form might have worsened.

Frigg Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frigg Oslo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ullern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frigg Oslo than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frigg Oslo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ullern - Frigg Oslo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Frigg (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Frigg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Iversen K. W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Nouri A. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Kanebog E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ullern won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Frigg has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ullern won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ullern won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Frigg	21	9	6	6	50:45	5	33
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.05.26	Vålerenga 2 - Ullern	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ullern - Ready	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Grei - Ullern	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ullern - Lokomotiv Oslo	2:5 ✺
11.04.26	Nordstrand - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLW
- Frigg Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
11.05.26	Frigg Oslo - KFUM 2	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Frigg Oslo - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Konnerud - Frigg Oslo	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Frigg Oslo - Vålerenga 2	3:3 ✺
06.04.26	Frigg Oslo - Union Carl Berner	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
07.10.25	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	0:0
11.05.25	Frigg Oslo - Ullern	1:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
28.09.24	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	0:8
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Frigg Oslo - Ullern	4:1
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	2:2
29.01.22	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	4:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
28.09.19	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	3:2

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