Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Ullern		Gamle Oslo

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.50	1.50
	3.80	4.40	1.55
	4.63	4.75	1.46
	4.19	4.55	1.59
	4.55	4.70	1.44
	4.96	4.65	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3)	4.59 ↑ (4.1)	1.5 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
20.4%

Draw
19.6%

Gamle Oslo
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

21.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

21.4%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ullern's form might have worsened.

Gamle Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamle Oslo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ullern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamle Oslo than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamle Oslo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ullern - Gamle Oslo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Eikeng E. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Knezevic N. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Tonnessen I. ⚽,
26', 2 - 2, Ness U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
70', Giltvedt K. 🟥,
81', 2 - 3, Tavakoli D. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 4, Reinfjord T. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 5, Moralija B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3).

Recent form of Ullern has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gamle Oslo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gamle Oslo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gamle Oslo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ullern won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 2.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Ullern won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gamle Oslo	22	13	2	7	69:42	27	41
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
01.08.26	Frigg Oslo - Ullern	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ullern - Heming	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Asker Fotball - Ullern	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Ullern - KFUM 2	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Gamle Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLLW
- Gamle Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
31.07.26	Gamle Oslo - Union Carl Berner	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Nordstrand - Gamle Oslo	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Gamle Oslo - Lokomotiv Oslo	6:1 ✺
20.06.26	Heming - Gamle Oslo	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Gamle Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
13.06.26	Gamle Oslo - Ullern	2:3
16.08.25	Gamle Oslo - Ullern	1:0
22.06.25	Ullern - Gamle Oslo	4:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
27.10.24	Gamle Oslo - Ullern	5:2

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