Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Ullern		Oppsal

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.7
	2.13	3.54	2.71
	2.14	3.76	2.83	Watch
	1.8	4.33	3
	2.11	3.82	2.77
	2.2	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.67)	3.83 ↓ (4.8)	2.79 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
43.5%

Draw
23.8%

Oppsal
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

19.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

13.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ullern's form might have worsened.

Oppsal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oppsal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oppsal than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Ullern - Oppsal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Aleksanjan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Skottvoll J. R. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Braten M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ullern won 1.

Recent matches Ullern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oppsal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ullern is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ullern won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ullern won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
14.09.24	Nordstrand - Ullern	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ullern - Bærum	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Asker Fotball - Ullern	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ullern - Åssiden	2:2 ✺
19.08.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Ullern	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTW
- Oppsal
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
14.09.24	Oppsal - Frigg Oslo	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gamle Oslo - Oppsal	3:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Oppsal	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Oppsal - Bærum	0:1 ✺
20.08.24	Skeid 2 - Oppsal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
25.05.24	Oppsal - Ullern	4:0
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.19	Oppsal - Ullern	3:5
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
29.09.18	Ullern - Oppsal	0:2
09.06.18	Oppsal - Ullern	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.08.16	Ullern - Oppsal	2:3
23.04.16	Oppsal - Ullern	0:0

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