Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Ullern		Sotra

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.4	1.58
	3.77	4.55	1.7
	3.77	4.56	1.7
	4.05	4.1	1.64
	3.9	4.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.05)	4.38 ↑ (3.8)	1.65 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
23.6%

Draw
20.9%

Sotra
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

23.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ullern's form might have worsened.

Sotra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sotra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ullern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sotra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ullern - Sotra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benestad I. G. (G) 11. Austnes L. (C) 77. Azemi F. 22. Badsvik M. 27. Broch J. C. 3. Fosen M. 15. Jacobsen N. 24. Jorde J. 28. Nygaard S. 21. Tobiassen B. 17. Udnaes P.	1. Grasmo M. (G) 3. Brudvik S. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 13. Haakon B. 4. Kalsaas E. 19. Mvuka B. 6. Nyland H. 10. Pedersen P. (C) 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D.
Substitutes
18. Bay-Larsen A. 23. Evensen B. 14. Francke J. 16. Holthe J. 19. Jef E. O. 6. Lindoe E. 10. Martinussen T. 12. Skretting M. 9. Stofring T.	15. Buan J. O. 12. Johansson D. (G) 22. Kjorsvik E. 23. Rottingen K. 14. Thorsen C.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Ullern is Relegated to

Ullern is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sotra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sotra is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ullern won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ullern won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
28.10.23	Kvik Halden - Ullern	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ullensaker Kisa - Ullern	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ullern - Strømmen	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Ullern	3:2 ✺
24.09.23	Ullern - Junkeren	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTLW
- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
29.10.23	Sotra - Tromsdalen	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	Stjørdals-Blink - Sotra	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Sotra - Junkeren	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Brann 2 - Sotra	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Sotra - Strømmen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
29.04.23	Sotra - Ullern	1:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.09.22	Sotra - Ullern	1:1
26.06.22	Ullern - Sotra	2:2

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