Match Info

NPL Tasmania - Round 18

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Westside Park (Ulverstone) 🌤️ ...


	Ulverstone		South East United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	4.20	1.75
	4.15	4.25	1.58
	3.9	4.75	1.58
	3.91	5.1	1.62	Watch
	3.65	4.7	1.56
	4.1	4.65	1.56	Watch
	4.2	4.3	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (2.7)	4.56 ↑ (3.6)	1.61 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulverstone
23.3%

Draw
20%

South East United
56.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

24.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulverstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulverstone's form might have worsened.

South East United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South East United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulverstone than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulverstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East United than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South East United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ulverstone - South East United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+11', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Ulverstone has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, South East United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

South East United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulverstone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulverstone FC
Australian NPL Tasmania
02.08.26	Clarence Zebras - Ulverstone	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Ulverstone - Glenorchy Knights	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	South Hobart - Ulverstone	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ulverstone - Kingborough Lions United	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Riverside Olympic - Ulverstone	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 LLLWL
- South East United
Australian NPL Tasmania
01.08.26	South East United - Riverside Olympic	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	South East United - Launceston United	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	Devonport City - South East United	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	South East United - South Hobart	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Launceston City - South East United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 63.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Tasmania
23.05.26	South East United - Ulverstone	2:0

Ulverstone - South East United