Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Referee: Almkvist S. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Umeå		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.1
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.75	3.5	2.09
	2.85	3.68	2.13
	2.45	3.6	2.38
	2.8	3.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
32.9%

Draw
25.4%

Djurgården
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Umeå - Djurgården Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Elitettan Women and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Umeå won 1.

Umeå has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Djurgården is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Umeå won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå IK
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
02.10.22	Vittsjö - Umeå	5:0 ✺
25.09.22	Umeå - Örebro	1:3 ✺
19.09.22	Umeå - Piteå	0:1 ✺
09.09.22	Häcken - Umeå	5:0 ✺
28.08.22	Umeå - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Djurgårdens IF Dam
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
02.10.22	Djurgården - AIK	4:2 ✺
24.09.22	Kristianstad - Djurgården	4:0 ✺
18.09.22	Brommapojkarna - Djurgården	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Djurgården - Vittsjö	0:3 ✺
28.08.22	Eskilstuna United - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Women
11.05.22	Djurgården - Umeå	3:0
Svenska Cupen Women
27.03.21	Djurgården - Umeå	2:3
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
08.11.20	Umeå - Djurgården	0:0
04.07.20	Djurgården - Umeå	1:1
09.10.16	Umeå - Djurgården	0:0
26.06.16	Djurgården - Umeå	1:3

Umeå - Djurgården: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide