Match Info

Superettan - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Utsikten

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.94	3.48	2.29	Watch
	3.02	3.7	2.31
	2.98	3.5	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.9	3.7	2.2	Watch
	2.94	3.48	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.5)	3.55 ↑ (3.47)	2.31 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
33.1%

Draw
26.4%

Utsikten
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Utsikten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utsikten's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utsikten than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utsikten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Umeå - Utsikten Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Utsikten will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 26. Ekman D. 15. Westin T. 28. Persson D. 8. Hedstrom J. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 7. Vikgren L. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 9. Haga M. H. 32. Voilas J.	75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 24. Salaou A. 33. Lagerlund S. 21. Rodeblad Lowe K. 13. Moenza M. (C) 12. Hjort W. 25. Johansson N. 8. Faltsetas A. 7. Bohm K. 11. Book R. 16. Johansson A.
Substitutes
16. Bangala D. 11. Dejene M. 5. Hedenquist J. 24. Marklund L. 19. Olsson T. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 12. Yeboah E.	31. Amos T. (G) 17. Andren E. 23. Karlsson A. 15. Sanyang A. 19. Selven J. 9. Sise M. 4. Tokpah D.
Coaches
Baath-Sjoblom A.	Orovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Johansson A. ⚽, Faltsetas A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hjort W. ↓, Selven J. ↑,
65', Bohm K. 🟨,
66', Voilas J. ↓, Marklund L. ↑,
72', Faltsetas A. ↓, Tokpah D. ↑,
80', Johansson A. ↓, Sise M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Haga M. H. (Pen),
90+2', Book R. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Lagerlund S. ⚽, Book R. (A),
90+3', Martiatu Nordeman A. ↓, Bangala D. ↑,
90+4', Hedstrom J. ↓, Hedenquist J. ↑,
90+5', Salaou A. ↓, Karlsson A. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Sise M. ⚽, Tokpah D. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Umeå may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.05.25	Umeå - Kubikensborgs	1:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.05.25	Sandviken - Umeå	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Umeå - Landskrona	0:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.05.25	Friska Viljor - Umeå	1:6 ✺
27.04.25	Umeå - Gottne	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLWW
- Utsiktens BK
Swedish Superettan
10.05.25	Utsikten - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sundsvall - Utsikten	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Utsikten - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Utsikten - Sandviken	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Landskrona - Utsikten	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTWL

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