Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	União ABC		Chapadão

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.85	3.45	1.79
	3.99	3.62	1.77
	4.15	3.9	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.9)	3.56 ↑ (3.11)	1.8 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União ABC
23.7%

Draw
25.7%

Chapadão
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

21.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União ABC's form might have worsened.

Chapadão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapadão's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União ABC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapadão than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Preview

União/ABC has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chapadão is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

União/ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Chapadão to win the game is with odds 2.25.

Last 2 head-to-head matches União/ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams União/ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União ABC
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
02.03.22	Operário MS - União ABC	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	União ABC - Comercial MS	1:3 ✺
16.02.22	União ABC - Costa Rica	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Chapadão - União ABC	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	União ABC - Operário MS	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SER Chapadão
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
02.03.22	Chapadão - Comercial MS	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Costa Rica - Chapadão	1:0 ✺
23.02.22	Chapadão - Costa Rica	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Operário MS - Chapadão	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Chapadão - União ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
13.02.22	Chapadão - União ABC	1:0
30.03.21	União ABC - Chapadão	2:0

União ABC - Chapadão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide