Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	União São João		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	2.80	3.25
	2.10	3.00	3.20
	2.33	2.65	3.28
	2.62	2.71	2.97
	2.30	2.60	3.20
	2.55	2.99	2.91
	2.28	2.75	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.99)	2.79 ↓ (3.48)	3.14 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

União São João
38.6%

Draw
32.6%

Grêmio Prudente
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

29.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União São João's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União São João, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Prudente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

União São João - Grêmio Prudente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Souto (G) 11. Alex Oliveira 9. Bruninho 3. Felipe Torres 4. Fernando Brito 2. Leo Machado 7. Maikinho 8. Maycon Lucas 10. Rafael Costa (C) 5. Ruan Marcos 6. Tallys	12. Rafael Pascoal (G) 10. Caiuby F. 3. Daniel Alexandre 7. Deivid Santos 16. Kaio Cristian 11. Kesley 9. Luquinhas 5. Marcos Junior 6. Rolim K. A. 18. Wanderson 4. Wellerson Uberaba
Substitutes
16. Batista Santos V. J. 22. Bruno Menezes 15. Bruno Re 23. Eliel 13. Leo Souza 12. Leo Steffen (G) 19. Matheus Castilho 17. Ronaldo 14. Sabia E. 18. Silvestre Elias M. 20. Wagner Gomes 21. Warlei	21. Andre C. 2. Arenales K. 13. Cadu 20. Felipe de Abreu Trajano L. 8. Gustavo Nicola 19. Kaua Gomes 17. Rocha H. 14. Samuel Pontes 15. Tortello 1. Wendel (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Ruan Marcos 🟨,
29', Fernando Brito 🟨,
34', Rafael Costa ↓, Bruno Menezes ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Bruninho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kesley ↓, Kaua Gomes ↑,
46', Deivid Santos ↓, Felipe de Abreu Trajano L. ↑,
67', 🟨,
68', Maikinho ↓, Silvestre Elias M. ↑,
68', Maycon Lucas ↓, Leo Souza ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Leo Souza ⚽,
72', Marcos Junior ↓, Gustavo Nicola ↑,
72', Wanderson ↓, Andre C. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Kaio Cristian ⚽,
81', Alex Oliveira ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
81', Leo Machado ↓, Eliel ↑,
86', Caiuby F. ↓, Rocha H. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

União São João has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Grêmio Prudente shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

União São João is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, União São João has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.09.26	Grêmio Prudente - União São João	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	CA Juventus - União São João	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	União São João - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Bandeirante - União São João	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	União São João - Bandeirante	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWLW
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.09.26	Grêmio Prudente - União São João	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Linense - Grêmio Prudente	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Grêmio Prudente - Linense	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Paulista - Grêmio Prudente	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Grêmio Prudente - Paulista	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.09.26	Grêmio Prudente - União São João	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
23.03.24	Grêmio Prudente - União São João	2:1

União São João - Grêmio Prudente