Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Atlético Madrid C

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.55	1.58
	3.9	3.9	1.76
	3.79	3.82	1.78	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.28	3.55	1.81
	3.8	3.66	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (5.6)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	1.74 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
22.2%

Draw
25.1%

Atlético Madrid C
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

24%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

23.5%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Franco D. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Sanchez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 3 - 0, ⚽,
52', 3 - 1, ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Unión Adarve has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético C is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlético C is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Leganés B - Unión Adarve	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Adarve - Trival Valderas	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLT
- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.11.25	Atlético Madrid C - Villaverde San Andrés	5:1 ✺
15.11.25	Galapagar - Atlético Madrid C	1:8 ✺
09.11.25	Siello - Atlético Madrid C	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid C - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Leganés B - Atlético Madrid C	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTT

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