Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Unión Magdalena		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.20	7.00
	1.38	4.25	7.00	Watch
	1.43	4.38	8.19
	1.4	4.45	7.78	Watch
	1.40	4.25	7.70
	1.41	4.23	8.06	Watch
	1.37	4.10	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)	4.27 ↑ (3.93)	7.5 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
66.1%

Draw
21.6%

Barranquilla
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.6%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cabezas V. (G) 7. Blanco R. 23. Congo J. 4. Delvalle R. 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. (C) 10. Mercado J. 18. Molina F. 16. Surmay O. 20. Vasquez J.	1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 16. Agamez M. 3. Cassiani O. 30. Gomez L. 4. Herazo E. 11. Munoz J. 36. Navia J. 21. Orozco A. 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C. 7. Torres D.
Substitutes
17. Arrieta G. 40. Escalante V. 14. Farias J. 22. Giraldo J. 5. Penaloza J. 29. Pimienta J. 8. Prado V. 28. Salazar K. 34. Tasso M. (G)	15. Borja S. 32. Chaparro J. 20. Cortez J. 5. Iriarte A. 18. Lozano J. 31. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 33. Mosquera D. 2. Moya Y. 25. Perez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Navia J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Herazo E. ⚽,
42', Oviedo P. 🟨,
43', Cassiani O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Munoz J. ↓, Borja S. ↑,
46', Agamez M. ↓, Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↑,
56', Oviedo P. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
59', Mercado J. ↓, Escalante V. ↑,
59', Iguaran C. ↓, Arrieta G. ↑,
71', Herazo E. ↓, Moya Y. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Blanco R. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Surmay O. ↓, Pimienta J. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Torres D. ⚽,
77', Arrieta G. 🟨,
80', Escalante V. ↓, Farias J. ↑,
90+3', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.

Unión Magdalena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barranquilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barranquilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unión Magdalena is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:14. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
01.09.26	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Tigres - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
31.07.26	Unión Magdalena - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
01.09.26	Barranquilla - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Internacional de Palmira - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Real Santander - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.08.26	Millonarios - Barranquilla	Canceled ✺
Colombian Primera B
02.08.26	Barranquilla - Atlético Cali	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLT?T

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
17.05.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:1
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0
04.03.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:3
12.08.24	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:1
20.02.24	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	1:3
26.09.21	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	3:0
03.04.21	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	4:1

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