Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Unión Sur Yaiza		Estrella

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	6.75
	1.38	4.1	6.83
	1.44	3.8	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.61)	4 ↑ (3.62)	7.03 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Sur Yaiza
64.5%

Draw
22.6%

Estrella
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

18.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Sur Yaiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Sur Yaiza's performance.

Estrella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Sur Yaiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Unión Sur Yaiza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrella is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unión Sur Yaiza is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Sur Yaiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.03.23	Tamaraceite - Unión Sur Yaiza	6:0 ✺
04.03.23	Unión Sur Yaiza - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Ibarra - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Unión Sur Yaiza - Santa Úrsula	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Gran Tarajal - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWTL
- Estrella CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.03.23	Estrella - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	0:6 ✺
03.03.23	Estrella - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Panadería Pulido - Estrella	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Estrella - Ibarra	0:5 ✺
11.02.23	Santa Úrsula - Estrella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
19.11.22	Estrella - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:2

Unión Sur Yaiza - Estrella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide