Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Unia Turza Śląska		Carina Gubin

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.55
	4	3.75	1.71
	3.3	4.58	1.85
	3.43	4.42	1.75	Watch
	3.46	3.66	1.89	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.73)	4.04 ↓ (4.27)	1.75 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Turza Śląska
24.7%

Draw
22.7%

Carina Gubin
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

21.3%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

20.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Turza Śląska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unia Turza Śląska's performance.

Carina Gubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carina Gubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Turza Śląska than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unia Turza Śląska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carina Gubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unia Turza Śląska - Carina Gubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Zarkowski B. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Rutkowski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 3, Wiecek D. ⚽,
65', 0 - 4, Haraszkiewicz P. ⚽,
84', 0 - 5, Wiecek D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Carina Gubin could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Carina Gubin is a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unia Turza Śląska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9 (average 0.7:3).

Including matches at home between the teams, Unia Turza Śląska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Turza Śląska
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.04.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Unia Turza Śląska	1:4 ✺
16.04.25	Unia Turza Śląska - Ślęza Wrocław	3:7 ✺
12.04.25	Stal Brzeg - Unia Turza Śląska	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Unia Turza Śląska - Polonia Słubice	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Unia Turza Śląska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTL
- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.04.25	Carina Gubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:3 ✺
18.04.25	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Carina Gubin - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Carina Gubin - Miedź Legnica 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.10.24	Carina Gubin - Unia Turza Śląska	4:1
03.05.24	Carina Gubin - Unia Turza Śląska	3:1
07.10.23	Unia Turza Śląska - Carina Gubin	0:2

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