Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Referee: Scholz L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
World	OneFootball TV


	Union Berlin		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.40	3.40
	1.88	3.4	3.3	Watch
	1.94	3.64	3.57
	1.91	3.8	3.53	Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.5
	1.79	3.66	3.61
	1.91	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.16)	3.57 ↑ (3.39)	3.47 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
48.4%

Draw
25.4%

RB Leipzig
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Berlin's performance.

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Berlin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Union Berlin - RB Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Bohi N. (G) 2. Schneider T. 77. Janssens J. 26. Tysiak A. 5. Pujols J. 10. Campbell E. 19. Steuerwald S. 32. Hausicke L. 41. Kamber L. 7. Heiseler L. (C) 42. Reissner N.	1. Herzog E. (G) 12. Mathys J. 24. Dudek N. 3. Norheim A. 22. Tuin A. 16. Schasching A. (C) 77. Hulst C. 18. Pusztai S. 8. Asgeirsdottir E. 27. Simonsson T. 17. Boboy D.
Substitutes
23. Bauereisen N. 27. Egli L. 25. Heikkinen I. 11. Orschmann D. 12. Smolarczyk N. (G) 17. Steinert J. 30. Veit J. 9. Weidauer S. 21. Weiss A.	19. Kleemann M. 38. Kramer J. 23. Lindner S. (G) 4. Mertens Z. 20. Pfister E. 25. Veefkind L.
Coaches
Eta M.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kamber L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Tuin A. ⚽, Asgeirsdottir E. (A),
61', Reissner N. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
61', Heiseler L. ↓, Weidauer S. ↑,
70', Schasching A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Boboy D. ⚽, Hulst C. (A),
78', Pujols J. ↓, Bauereisen N. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Steuerwald S. ⚽,
85', Tuin A. ↓, Veefkind L. ↑,
88', Herzog E. 🟨,
88', Schneider T. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Campbell E. ⚽, Weidauer S. (A),
90', Hulst C. ↓, Pfister E. ↑,
90', Simonsson T. ↓, Kleemann M. ↑,
90', Campbell E. ↓, Orschmann D. ↑,
90', Kamber L. ↓, Veit J. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th in the Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 9th).

Union Berlin is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

RB Leipzig is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Union Berlin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Union Berlin is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:2 (averaging 2.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Union Berlin against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 3:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig W	6	2	1	3	10:9	1	7
10	Union Berlin W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
12.09.26	Köln - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Women
25.07.26	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
12.09.26	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	RB Leipzig - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
01.08.26	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
14.03.26	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	2:2
19.10.25	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	5:0
German DFB Pokal Women
08.09.24	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	1:0

Union Berlin - RB Leipzig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide