Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA YOUTH LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Union Berlin U19		Napoli U19

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.2
	1.57	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.59	4.2	4.4
	1.61	4.33	4.56
	1.53	4	4.33
	1.6	4.3	4.65
	1.59	4.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	4.16 ↑ (3.83)	4.48 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Union Berlin U19
57.7%

Draw
21.9%

Napoli U19
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Berlin U19's performance.

Napoli U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin U19 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Berlin U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli U19 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Berlin U19 - Napoli U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stein Y. (G) 25. Prosche L. 14. Ogbemudia O. 16. Grunwald J. 2. Scholz J. 8. Engelbreth N. (C) 6. Kemlein A. 10. Schleinitz T. 11. Jurschik L. 21. Asanji L. 22. Friedrich J.	1. Pellino N. (G) 2. Puzone M. 5. Mazzone A. 6. Gambardella V. 3. De Crescenzo S. 7. De Chiara E. 4. Gioielli F. (C) 8. Legnanate M. 11. Lorusso F. 9. Raggioli C. 10. Borriello S.
Substitutes
4. Ackermann T. 20. Ciobanu I. 9. Kalayci B. 17. Kramer T. 3. Markgraf A. 7. Ojo K. 12. Rodtnick J. (G)	16. Ballabile E. 15. D'Avino L. 13. Esposito M. 17. Malasomma M. 14. Peluso L. 12. Turi C. (G) 18. Vigliotti G.
Coaches
Grote M.	Tedesco A.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Union Berlin U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
21.10.23	Werder Bremen U19 - Union Berlin U19	0:4 ✺
UEFA Youth League
03.10.23	Union Berlin U19 - Braga U19	1:4 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga North
30.09.23	Meppen U19 - Union Berlin U19	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Union Berlin U19 - Eintracht Braunschweig U19	3:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
20.09.23	Real Madrid U19 - Union Berlin U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTWL
- Napoli U19
Italian Primavera 2
21.10.23	Napoli U19 - Bari U19	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cesena U19 - Napoli U19	4:1 ✺
UEFA Youth League
03.10.23	Napoli U19 - Real Madrid U19	0:4 ✺
Italian Primavera 2
30.09.23	Ternana U19 - Napoli U19	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
27.09.23	Napoli U19 - Benevento U19	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches