Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Union Carl Berner		Grei

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.80	5.75
	1.54	4.25	4.00
	1.40	4.94	5.86
	1.61	4.59	4.03	Watch
	1.36	4.33	6.00
	1.57	4.5	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	4.57 ↑ (4.45)	4.97 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Carl Berner
61.7%

Draw
19.9%

Grei
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

20.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

18.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Carl Berner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grei than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Union Carl Berner - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Rosland E. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Storseth E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Berre E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Union Carl Berner is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grei has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Union Carl Berner is the team to beat.

We predict that Union Carl Berner will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Union Carl Berner	22	11	2	9	40:32	8	35
13	Grei	22	6	1	15	40:72	-32	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
13.06.26	Konnerud - Union Carl Berner	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Heming - Union Carl Berner	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Ullern	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Union Carl Berner	0:8 ✺
10.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Bærum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWW
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
13.06.26	Grei - Ready	3:5 ✺
30.05.26	Bærum - Grei	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Grei - KFUM 2	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Gamle Oslo - Grei	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Grei - Lokomotiv Oslo	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

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