The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Clodiense 42.5%
Draw 31.1%
Villafranca 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
27.2%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
24.2%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Clodiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Clodiense's form might have worsened.
Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villafranca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (+18%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Clodiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villafranca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Union Clodiense - Villafranca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out)).
Union Clodiense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Villafranca has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Union Clodiense is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Union Clodiense to win the game is with odds 1.94.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Union Clodiense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Union Clodiense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.