Match Info

Date: 17 August 2021, Tuesday


	Union Fürstenwalde		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.33	1.52
	4.5	4.5	1.5
	4.8	4.6	1.51
	4.9	4.92	1.54
	4.2	3.9	1.65
	5.1	4.7	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.19)	4.49 ↑ (4.11)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Fürstenwalde
19.7%

Draw
20.5%

Lokomotive Leipzig
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

22.5%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

18.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Fürstenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lokomotive Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Fürstenwalde than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotive Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Fürstenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Fürstenwalde is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lokomotive Leipzig is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lokomotive Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lokomotive Leipzig have a series of home games.

In this match Lokomotive Leipzig is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fürstenwalde won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürstenwalde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Union Fürstenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
14.08.21	Altglienicke - Union Fürstenwalde	3:3 ✺
07.08.21	Union Fürstenwalde - Berliner AK 07	1:4 ✺
30.07.21	Chemnitzer - Union Fürstenwalde	1:0 ✺
27.07.21	Tennis Borussia Berlin - Union Fürstenwalde	3:1 ✺
24.07.21	Union Fürstenwalde - Auerbach	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLLW
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3 ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
31.07.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:0 ✺
28.07.21	Optik Rathenow - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:3 ✺
24.07.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hildesheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
03.11.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	2:2
17.02.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	5:0
12.08.18	Union Fürstenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2
28.03.18	Lokomotive Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	1:1
06.08.17	Union Fürstenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:2
30.04.17	Union Fürstenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:0
20.11.16	Lokomotive Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	3:1

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