Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 19

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Park21-Arena (Gurten)


	Union Gurten		LASK II

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.55	2.48
	2.29	3.53	2.6
	2.3	3.74	2.59
	2.28	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.64)	3.57 ↓ (3.59)	2.57 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Gurten
39.4%

Draw
25.4%

LASK II
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Gurten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Gurten's performance.

LASK II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LASK II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Gurten than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Gurten that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LASK II than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LASK II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Gurten - LASK II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gurten won 3.

Recent performances by Gurten have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

LASK II is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gurten has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gurten won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gurten won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Union Gurten	30	20	4	6	59:28	31	64
4	LASK (Am)	30	15	6	9	66:44	22	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Gurten
Austrian Regionalliga Central
13.03.26	Lafnitz - Union Gurten	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Union Gurten - Gleisdorf	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Deutschlandsberger - Union Gurten	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.02.26	SPG Wels - Union Gurten	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Austria Salzburg - Union Gurten	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL
- LASK II
Austrian Regionalliga Central
13.03.26	LASK II - ASKÖ Oedt	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	ATUS Velden - LASK II	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	LASK II - Ried II	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.26	SPG Wels - LASK II	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sparta Prague B - LASK II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
22.08.25	LASK II - Union Gurten	3:1
15.03.25	Union Gurten - LASK II	2:1
16.08.24	LASK II - Union Gurten	3:4
26.04.24	LASK II - Union Gurten	1:0
20.09.23	Union Gurten - LASK II	1:0
11.03.23	Union Gurten - LASK II	2:0

Union Gurten - LASK II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide