Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 6

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Union Tornesch		Victoria Hamburg

	1	X	2
	3.68	5.3	1.64
	4.25	4.7	1.57
	4.5	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.38)	5 ↑ (4.43)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Tornesch
22.3%

Draw
18.5%

Victoria Hamburg
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

20.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

20.2%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Tornesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Victoria Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Hamburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Tornesch than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Hamburg than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Hamburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Tornesch won 0.

Union Tornesch has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Victoria Hamburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Victoria Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Union Tornesch won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Union Tornesch won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Tornesch
German Oberliga Hamburg
26.08.23	Altona - Union Tornesch	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Union Tornesch - ETSV Hamburg	0:6 ✺
13.08.23	Niendorfer - Union Tornesch	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Union Tornesch - Dassendorf	1:5 ✺
30.07.23	TuRa Harksheide - Union Tornesch	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLLL
- Victoria Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
25.08.23	Victoria Hamburg - Wandsbeker Concordia	4:3 ✺
20.08.23	TSV Buchholz 08 - Victoria Hamburg	2:1 ✺
11.08.23	Victoria Hamburg - Paloma Hamburg	0:3 ✺
05.08.23	Düneberg - Victoria Hamburg	1:2 ✺
28.07.23	Victoria Hamburg - Süderelbe	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
12.02.23	Union Tornesch - Victoria Hamburg	2:2
09.09.22	Victoria Hamburg - Union Tornesch	1:0
15.02.22	Victoria Hamburg - Union Tornesch	3:0
25.10.20	Union Tornesch - Victoria Hamburg	2:3
22.09.19	Union Tornesch - Victoria Hamburg	2:2

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