Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 27

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Prince Moulay Hassan (Rabat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Laayoune TV, SNRT Live


	Union de Touarga		Difaa El Jadida

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.80	3.00	4.33
	1.8	3.15	4.55
	1.79	3.4	5
	1.82	3.22	4.41	Watch
	1.76	3.1	4.2
	1.83	3.1	4.34	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	4.54 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union de Touarga
51%

Draw
29%

Difaa El Jadida
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union de Touarga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union de Touarga's performance.

Difaa El Jadida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difaa El Jadida than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	44.4%	0%

Union de Touarga - Difaa El Jadida Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Union de Touarga will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union de Touarga: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Bouelainine H. (G) 33. Ait Lamkadem R. 2. Akharraz Y. 41. Ashabi M. 9. Bammou Y. 7. Dahmani Y. 4. El Khalej T. 8. Essadak H. 70. Lotfi S. 15. Regragui H. 31. Rhailouf W.	30. Niasse B. (G) 23. Abaaziz S. 2. Benchchaoui O. 14. Bentarcha M. 6. El Idrissi Bouzidi B. 21. Hilali M. 99. Idrissi A. 3. Malki H. 7. Sabik I. 5. Sanogo A. 77. Ziani A.
Substitutes
1. Asmama R. (G) 30. Es Sahel M. 10. Essahel M. 13. Kajai Y. 45. Konan K. 3. Nanah A. 59. Tebily S. 39. Zraa Y.	16. Ait Wahmane A. (G) 80. Da Costa R. 17. Ennakouss A. 19. Jamaane H. 88. Michte Y. 12. Mostakime A. 10. Mouchtanim M. 24. Oubraim Z. 13. Riyane A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Dahmani Y. ⚽, Essadak H. (A),
60', Ziani A. ↓, Ennakouss A. ↑,
60', Sabik I. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
60', Rhailouf W. ↓, Essahel M. ↑,
61', Bammou Y. ↓, Tebily S. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Ennakouss A. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Essadak H. ↓, Konan K. ↑,
71', Lotfi S. ↓, Zraa Y. ↑,
81', Essahel M. 🟨,
82', Idrissi A. ↓, Mouchtanim M. ↑,
84', Benchchaoui O. ↓, Oubraim Z. ↑,
86', Dahmani Y. 🟨,
90', El Idrissi Bouzidi B. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Ennakouss A. ⚽, Mouchtanim M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation) and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Union de Touarga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union de Touarga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Union de Touarga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Union Touarga	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
16	Difaa El Jadidi	2	0	0	2	2:8	-6	0

Last Results with these Odds

Difaa El Jadida - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union de Touarga
Moroccan Botola
21.06.26	Hassania Agadir - Union de Touarga	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Union de Touarga - CODM de Meknès	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Raja Casablanca - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	Renaissance Zemamra - Union de Touarga	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Union de Touarga - KAC Marrakech	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWTWT
- Difaa El Jadida
Moroccan Botola
21.06.26	Difaa El Jadida - Wydad Casablanca	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Maghreb Fez - Difaa El Jadida	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Difaa El Jadida - Olympique Dcheira	2:2 ✺
08.06.26	FUS Rabat - Difaa El Jadida	0:0 ✺
04.06.26	FAR Rabat - Difaa El Jadida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
14.02.26	Difaa El Jadida - Union de Touarga	1:0
27.02.25	Difaa El Jadida - Union de Touarga	1:0
26.10.24	Union de Touarga - Difaa El Jadida	2:2
29.01.23	Union de Touarga - Difaa El Jadida	2:1
02.09.22	Difaa El Jadida - Union de Touarga	1:0

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