Match Info

Coupe du Trone - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Prince Moulay Hassan (Rabat)


	Union de Touarga		Stade Marocain

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	4.84
				Watch
	1.83	3.55	4.17
	1.3	4.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.4)	3.8 ↓ (4.05)	5.67 ↓ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union de Touarga
58%

Draw
25.2%

Stade Marocain
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union de Touarga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union de Touarga's form might have worsened.

Stade Marocain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union de Touarga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Marocain than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Union de Touarga - Stade Marocain Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union de Touarga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Union de Touarga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Union de Touarga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stade Marocain is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Union de Touarga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Union de Touarga is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Union de Touarga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Union de Touarga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union de Touarga
Moroccan Excellence Cup
10.06.25	Union de Touarga - Wydad Casablanca	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	KAC Marrakech - Union de Touarga	2:3 penalties ✺
Moroccan Botola
11.05.25	Union de Touarga - Olympic Safi	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Renaissance Zemamra - Union de Touarga	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Union de Touarga - Raja Casablanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLT
- Stade Marocain
Moroccan Excellence Cup
03.06.25	Stade Marocain - Wydad Casablanca	1:2 ✺
Moroccan Botola 2
18.05.25	Stade Marocain - Olympique Khouribga	4:1 ✺
14.05.25	Racing de Casablanca - Stade Marocain	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Stade Marocain - Chabab Benguérir	2:2 ✺
07.05.25	Widad Fez - Stade Marocain	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Excellence Cup
01.02.25	Stade Marocain - Union de Touarga	2:1
07.09.24	Union de Touarga - Stade Marocain	2:1
Moroccan Botola 2
06.03.22	Union de Touarga - Stade Marocain	1:1
29.10.21	Stade Marocain - Union de Touarga	2:3

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