Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday


	Unirea Ungheni		Gloria Bistrița

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.12	3.3	2.65
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.28	3.4	2.75
	2.35	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.7 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unirea Ungheni
40.1%

Draw
26.8%

Gloria Bistrița
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.8%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unirea Ungheni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gloria Bistrița has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unirea Ungheni than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Bistrița than the current prediction. (+1%)

Unirea Ungheni - Gloria Bistrița Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Astafei V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Mihai V. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Astafei V. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unirea Ungheni won 2.

Recent matches Unirea Ungheni is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gloria Bistrița is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Unirea Ungheni won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Unirea Ungheni won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unirea Ungheni
Romanian Liga 3 - Promotion Play-Offs
01.06.24	Gloria Bistrița - Unirea Ungheni	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Zalău - Unirea Ungheni	1:1 ✺
22.05.24	Unirea Ungheni - Zalău	3:0 ✺
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 9
17.05.24	Unirea Ungheni - Gloria Bistrița	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Universitatea Alba Iulia - Unirea Ungheni	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWTL
- Gloria Bistrița
Romanian Liga 3 - Promotion Play-Offs
01.06.24	Gloria Bistrița - Unirea Ungheni	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Gloria Bistrița - Sighetu Marmaţiei	2:1 penalties ✺
22.05.24	Sighetu Marmaţiei - Gloria Bistrița	0:0 ✺
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 9
17.05.24	Unirea Ungheni - Gloria Bistrița	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Gloria Bistrița - ACS Mediaș	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Promotion Play-Offs
01.06.24	Gloria Bistrița - Unirea Ungheni	2:2
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 9
17.05.24	Unirea Ungheni - Gloria Bistrița	2:2
13.04.24	Unirea Ungheni - Gloria Bistrița	3:1
17.11.23	Gloria Bistrița - Unirea Ungheni	1:0
05.11.21	Unirea Ungheni - Gloria Bistrița	2:1
04.09.21	Gloria Bistrița - Unirea Ungheni	4:2

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