Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Referee: Sars J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	United Nordic		Landskrona

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.55
	2.43	3.40	2.50
	2.55	3.70	2.71
	2.55	3.37	2.67	Watch
	2.50	3.65	2.60
	2.58	3.30	2.63	Watch
	2.43	3.35	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.25)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.61 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
37.1%

Draw
27.2%

Landskrona
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Landskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United Nordic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

United Nordic - Landskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dzevlan A. (G) 4. Abadid L. 77. Gursac J. (C) 3. Fazal M. 24. Johansson T. 21. Swedi E. 8. Gronborg T. 5. Andersson E. 20. Harabi A. 9. Shhab S. 10. Durmaz E.	30. Pettersson M. (G) 4. Bruzelius G. 26. Murbeck A. (C) 6. Karlsson T. 3. Weststrom G. 5. Egnell A. 18. Perez A. 23. Loukili Z. 21. Jensen K. 14. Andreasen M. 10. Capotondi C.
Substitutes
74. Aphrem C. 16. Daneyl N. 12. Davis S. 11. Fisic A. 6. Lindgren A. 1. Melkemichel A. (G) 25. Nesvik-Andersson L.	31. Andersson A. (G) 27. Arabaci R. 36. Hebibovic E. 28. Milosevic M. 12. Moungam E. 7. Ojala S. 13. Sakurai K. 9. Sylisufaj E.
Coaches
Younan S.	Asterhed R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Capotondi C. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Andreasen M. ⚽, Capotondi C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Abadid L. ↓, Daneyl N. ↑,
50', Durmaz E. 🟨,
60', Gronborg T. 🟨,
62', Bruzelius G. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Daneyl N. ⚽, Harabi A. (A),
75', Loukili Z. ↓, Sakurai K. ↑,
75', Swedi E. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
75', Johansson T. ↓, Aphrem C. ↑,
79', Dzevlan A. 🟥,
81', Shhab S. ↓, Melkemichel A. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Egnell A. ⚽,
84', 1 - 4, Andreasen M. ⚽, Weststrom G. (A),
87', Capotondi C. ↓, Sylisufaj E. ↑,
87', Bruzelius G. ↓, Milosevic M. ↑,
90+1', Andreasen M. ↓, Hebibovic E. ↑,
90+1', Jensen K. ↓, Arabaci R. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 5th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

United Nordic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, United Nordic has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Landskrona: 0.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Landskrona	25	11	7	7	39:26	13	40
9	Nordic United	25	9	9	7	38:40	-2	36

Last Results with these Odds

Landskrona - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.57%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Superettan
14.09.26	Örebro - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	United Nordic - Värnamo	2:4 ✺
04.09.26	Öster - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	United Nordic - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.26	Bollstanäs - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLW
- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
15.09.26	Landskrona - Sundsvall	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Landskrona - Helsingborg	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Norrby - Landskrona	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Landskrona - Östersund	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
16.06.26	Landskrona - United Nordic	2:0

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