Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)


	United Nordic		Team TG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	6.6	14
	1.15	7.29	16.89
	1.22	5.79	13.5	Watch
	1.15	6.7	14.2	Watch
	1.17	6.6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.41)	6.6 ↑ (4.38)	14.52 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
79.5%

Draw
14.1%

Team TG
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.1%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.1%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in United Nordic's performance.

Team TG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Team TG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United Nordic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Team TG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

United Nordic - Team TG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garaca D. (C) 6. Aphrem G. 7. Eminovic A. 77. Gursac J. 20. Harabi A. 10. Mehmeti L. 14. Miljanovic D. 9. Neziri A. 25. Sugita Y. 21. Swedi E. 42. Tagesson J.	1. Jerner A. (G) 22. Andreasson J. 4. Berglin W. 12. Hansson E. 8. Junghagen Pliatsikas A. 9. Kamf V. 21. Mossnelid A. 17. Naslund A. 34. Naslund P. 77. Rafael T. 37. Wolf-Watz M.
Substitutes
2. Behnan M. 3. Fazal M. 1. Melkemichel A. (G) 11. Rajalakso S. 39. Rashidi D. 24. Ulloa Niinivirta L. 19. Yarar P.	25. Bayeke S. 7. Biregey A. 80. Goncalves Karlstedt J. 11. Hansson W. 13. Lidman A. (G) 6. Mumand H. 18. Sundstrom T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Tagesson J. ⚽,
70', Rafael T. ↓, Hansson W. ↑,
70', Junghagen Pliatsikas A. ↓, Sundstrom T. ↑,
72', Gursac J. 🟨,
73', Neziri A. ↓, Ulloa Niinivirta L. ↑,
75', Wolf-Watz M. 🟨,
77', Naslund P. ↓, Biregey A. ↑,
82', Sugita Y. ↓, Rajalakso S. ↑,
82', Mehmeti L. ↓, Behnan M. ↑,
82', Eminovic A. ↓, Fazal M. ↑,
88', Kamf V. ↓, Goncalves Karlstedt J. ↑,
88', Berglin W. ↓, Bayeke S. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

United Nordic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Team TG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Team TG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, United Nordic is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.04.25	Karlstad - United Nordic	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	AFC Eskilstuna - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	United Nordic - Gefle	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Arlanda - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	United Nordic - Sollentuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWW
- Team TG FF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.04.25	Team TG - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Sollentuna - Team TG	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Team TG - Arlanda	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Gefle - Team TG	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Team TG - Karlstad	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLLL

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