Match Info

Date: 20 July 2021, Tuesday


	Universidad de Chile		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.1
	1.79	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.2
	1.93	3.44	4.42
	1.85	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3.44	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.28 ↓ (3.31)	4.3 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
50%

Draw
28.4%

Deportes Melipilla
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.3%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	19.2%	23.1%

Universidad de Chile - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Melipilla will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Cup
04.07.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - Universidad de Chile	2:1 penalties ✺
01.07.21	Universidad de Chile - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:1 ✺
27.06.21	San Luis de Quillota - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
24.06.21	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Recoleta	Canceled ✺
24.06.21	Universidad de Chile - San Luis de Quillota	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTW?W
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Ñublense - Deportes Melipilla	0:0 ✺
23.06.21	Deportes Melipilla - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.06.21	Deportes Melipilla - OHiggins	3:1 ✺
29.05.21	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Melipilla	5:1 ✺
23.05.21	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLT

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