The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 48.5%
Draw 26.7%
Alianza Lima 24.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
25.6%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
24.1%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2.
Uni de Deportes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Uni de Deportes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Alianza Lima has had a series of away games.
In this match, Uni de Deportes is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Uni de Deportes will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).