Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	União Suzano		Red Bull Bragantino II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.6
	2.32	3.42	2.61
	2.29	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Suzano
39.4%

Draw
26%

Red Bull Bragantino II
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Red Bull Bragantino II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino II than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

União Suzano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Red Bull Bragantino II is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Red Bull Bragantino II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	União Suzano - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	União Suzano - Desportivo Brasil	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	São Caetano - União Suzano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- Red Bull Bragantino II
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Rio Preto	3:0 ✺
21.02.24	Desportivo Brasil - Red Bull Bragantino II	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Sertãozinho	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	União São João - Red Bull Bragantino II	3:4 ✺
07.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWT

União Suzano - Red Bull Bragantino II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide