Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.68	2.98	2.48
	2.73	2.93	2.64	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.63
	2.67	2.93	2.52
	2.71	2.85	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.85)	2.92 ↓ (3.19)	2.55 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
33.6%

Draw
31%

Las Rozas
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

27.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+5%)

Unión Adarve - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Kosty ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Unión Adarve may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	5	10
11	Union Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.12.25	Galapagar - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid C	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWLT
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.25	Las Rozas - Villaverde San Andrés	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid C - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Las Rozas - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.08.22	Unión Adarve - Las Rozas	3:3
14.08.19	Las Rozas - Unión Adarve	1:1

Unión Adarve - Las Rozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide